Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:27:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,129.04
Unexplained QUAI: 70,284.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
2.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
3
12.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
71,413.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 71413 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
753.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Net receiver
Unknown type
753.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
322.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Net receiver
Unknown type
322.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
53.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
5,500.98 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:26:47 A.M.
-1 min
34 tx
27,931.83 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:25:35 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate25 tx
71,413.25 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:27:58 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:29:14 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
10,825.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:24:23 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
907.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:30:25 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
30,106.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:23:12 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
3,541.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
753.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:27:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
322.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x001e001d7ba31776ab72ab87f4d8c6a748b2a25db9749f958c2e3092555caac6
753.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0059004332ef2e5f183acda5d44a9e5a95932f3c3b901cdee5234030f9f19367
53.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x004921149a43690D5029ec3c7FC4907327d5bfF1
Tx: 0x0021000feb56da0f2cd2e63afc28df53fd69160c6bf05d414685346c6aede6fb