Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,542.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
3,541.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3542 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
9,542.63 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,818.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c242d10fb07C195bfb623343B463E63c4da29
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,134.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,604.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Net receiver
Unknown type
985.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,541.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
4,910.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:20:43 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
30,106.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:23:12 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
10,318.48 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:19:31 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10,825.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:24:23 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,141.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:18:21 A.M.
+4 min
34 tx
27,931.83 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:25:35 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,436.92 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:17:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,818.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:22:51 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
4,818.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:22:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Tx: 0x005f003eb195087a562a8d4bbf22dc8c9e6566d5fd9bc89498969d9235b159d1
1,604.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:22:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Tx: 0x00490000d6fa605c51ffa645c0e29951e046079d38fe6b2ba8102662799053d9
985.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:22:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x004a0040ad081a31dc206c65cbd1df7aa055f3ebc088c78d38d4fc1c432281a9
2,134.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:22:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c242d10fb07C195bfb623343B463E63c4da29
Tx: 0x001700388273788bf509c3e09ca87bea9077e4e8834d11164bcc1e54aa80e7a5
