Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,910.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
2.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
4,910.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4910 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,987.67 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,410.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
922.48 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net sender
Unknown type
473.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Net receiver
Unknown type
377.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 922.48 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
10,318.48 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:19:31 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
4,910.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:20:43 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,141.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:18:21 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3,541.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:22:00 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,436.92 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:17:08 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
30,106.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:23:12 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,926.95 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:15:57 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
10,825.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:24:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,410.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,410.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Tx: 0x005e003ff06c833da2f6653cfb7df1243106edf5a2083fc4425dcd6453141ab4
199.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x0020005b0880ea02e36648db687e7860b0e1ec16f69b6218f4a47e62ce6f8749
377.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x00400073b64bdf79ff913961af981c2b060578bf816fe5ac5748d860016f0510
473.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:04 A.M.
From: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580069e39f978c0a1aa96e00071df6250faa6ac5278d53c1ea8f862e231c42
175.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:04 A.M.
From: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d001c2b85d6e1b08cf108a27facf22a0b8eda33ed9e1922309bee8644a5d1
153.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:04 A.M.
From: 0x0043ed68403e4cDb6f787D36C11B0b767f78105f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b002c81cab6bd53fe3f59ebc134cac392df2cbf42060e3e381dff5bfd2cae
118.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:20:04 A.M.
From: 0x00797Ef1Ef4f80d60E64E0D62c73e22789EA4355
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00460003ddcbd098a6ee0ae10230700c0875665292c2426b1e34e66de254fd93