Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:17:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,141.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
1,436.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1437 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,141.65 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,258.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
474.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
409.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,436.92 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:17:08 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,926.95 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:15:57 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
2,141.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:18:21 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
32,169.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:14:46 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:13:35 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
10,318.48 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:19:31 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
4,910.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:20:43 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate9 tx
59,306.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:12:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,258.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:17:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
474.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x002500386e50f2b42f32bc73cd87d67e5eaff4345c5ed876b9c17db7a41679a9
409.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:17:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x000700056e490eb3ae7bae8bc1e4a11104569f48f678e988f3e0cd9c446e6b07
1,258.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:17:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E
Tx: 0x0050000da9fcd600d2f13e7388e8f7a3a16fa91b969cd3f7527713d110f4a3b8
