Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 5:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 5:02:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 5:03:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 662.07
Unexplained QUAI: 1,209.32
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
3
6.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
1,871.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1871 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 5:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
662.07 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
442.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
110.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
109.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 662.07 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate50 tx
1,871.38 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/10/2026, 5:02:17 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 5:01:06 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:59:55 A.M.
+2 min
53 tx
1,486.49 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/10/2026, 5:03:32 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:58:45 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
40.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 5:04:43 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:57:34 A.M.
+4 min
47 tx
1,697.27 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/10/2026, 5:05:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
442.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 5:02:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
110.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 5:02:59 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620016e2b436c69c4f0a62d951cd44e8f1d3a6908612605b3c0d3687f50ab4
442.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 5:02:59 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065000e67b8e7b86c7485c2d0f6203193e63663282876e264becfcf8c5f92e5
109.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 5:02:59 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430010e0fbed9dcaeb12b2c7c07fca428f4d77b34a380e4fa2356f592c38b6