Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 4:08:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 799.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
15x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
799.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 800 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
797.4 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
210.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
149.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
124.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
108.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 797.4 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate46 tx
1,315.94 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:07:47 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
52.64 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:06:36 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
799.96 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:08:59 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3.85 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:10:13 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
972.51 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:05:25 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:11:24 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:03:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
210.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
149.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0063127dfc66c2f1cc111e97247b241d52b6a79fa0128725763577bca005
124.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500311a87496c02eaf5f0d24360d0d42489195221c449a2d17f2a43e88efe
108.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0052cdf6ebc686ca08f75af04c88c1541009c9321f2606b0c7fb1d1ce6c0
210.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073002a6135eb6e2da3347278e277ff2418e10046b8eaf40abffd1093af42e1
102.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x000877c0331D590249486BC792E8b7A411D4457A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074001ab6205106f2f543df09bd7eb83c6b01a61c9c28b35e18f3c2d3ef464c
101.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:34 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f004647e48edb8b854faf56b1efa2a6d1289d15359e9094c4b441dd33e2d6
2.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:08:23 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00250033311acf6a0eb9288f34a3e958f56387033780ba5fd2f577c0427b1f47