Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:56:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,366.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
810 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda • 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 810 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda • 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Net sender
Unknown type
810 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Net receiver
Unknown type
810 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
556.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net sender
Unknown type
406.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
150.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 556.93 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
10,625 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:55:31 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
810 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:56:42 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
4,191.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:54:17 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
556.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:57:53 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
905.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:53:06 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:59:03 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
9,668.57 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:51:55 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:00:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
810 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:56:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
150.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:56:44 A.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028007c4aa33b4edae5af47af2cac645601c49aef8981f3453179fd083c8cca
406.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:56:44 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009004ec397a1150c28389ed9113595efd81eb81eaa3302028f693daac249f4
810 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:56:27 A.M.
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Tx: 0x0075007047efcb41c937abec989fb4ef741852926a0ab43f9877e2da6b6c879f