Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,191.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
905.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 905 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,191.28 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
Net sender
Unknown type
935.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
Net sender
Unknown type
825.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
Net sender
Unknown type
825.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Net sender
Unknown type
809.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
905.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:53:06 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
9,668.57 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:51:55 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
4,191.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:54:17 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
2,158.78 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:50:42 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,871.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:49:31 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
10,625 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:55:31 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
810 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:56:42 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
1,415.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:48:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
935.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
489.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x001C4b140059947845c3f2c96fbdccA4c67CD2FB
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0013006d1a674f3bc0b7deefe4ca8ad7411590af0be3d9adb206d5944514608d
825.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0046005287b994d1e2071e49cbfe77c70d283c47e7d9d2001ccce7f5cd0b0f85
809.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003700778e9009e36186478cc0905629290932a4dfd0422e5114d0b56bcc3a6a
118.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x0032e1629eDf553A2c22E853166F2F312D3484E4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000b0005419da80cf93608797416f2866673acb45033a6231752663a434daf6f
935.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0019003ea700bdfacc44db9aaced4777e44e72de0db50e6b6eb9888b92a04134
825.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x0021DdD0c271B326D563EA12754E94c2A5107724
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0014002f6e529e9fb3d807c5e1787ff7a6c1566554b8bbb530cb37b5e503c345
187.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x004Bb798e1128Ed209b846f3012B3A29D383b3D4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0046002c90a6a169de0d2e20188eb53743a453abd885d3228b4b59a642d4fc17
