Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,668.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,668.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9669 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,237.51 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net sender
Unknown type
5,569.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,431.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
1,167.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,110.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,237.51 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,158.78 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:50:42 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,871.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:49:31 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
9,668.57 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:51:55 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
905.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:53:06 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,415.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:48:20 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
4,191.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:54:17 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,357.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:47:10 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
9,170.64 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,569.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
320.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x001000290e8b8c9021dbacffa8ed490621388b8a85d45dfb2c6f018804a57609
1,110.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Tx: 0x0039004833e4c27a303851b05a4f4b955f9debe5f93098f951e12fac2ef40cff
756.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x0063e540C5ec7D4dF043d2481bcE7929E1D1FAB2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000236e5867d8995167e6b50bd72dd81fc16904e4775223d90959b0767f31
240.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c0021ffb29ae744a73bca355007aa4a95b5610f4e1d6b165ff5a703e6a438
5,569.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a002f80ff8455d88a97144b028e486ebbce9ff15d6da22426e833b224be9f
216.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x006a6A77c1441Ff0BcB6C602d48C9Eb71ae0D75d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f007995389964aa968a894140d7437957d33e228f2944ebd454e1d32c6d10
1,167.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c007c5ea314ab5e24ece335caf10e9925f5561a0a226ba62bcc1e195d02ff
287.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:51:03 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030000f6f7867c2ed16270279678f8ca7999b97e3f89531720219a7eb1552be