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Spike bucket

09/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,402.9
Unexplained QUAI: 16,154.84
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
15x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
4
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
17,557.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 17558 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
508.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Net receiver
Unknown type
508.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
505.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000F79dd294ee84748fb65F770369D067a8c5370
Net receiver
Unknown type
505.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
204.58 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 12. The remaining 8 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

508.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
184.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0017b28940Ce577b74bbdCbB84c4398b24a80741
Tx: 0x0068004e07ae9a006685f8167d0701af0aab7ddcb8ef3ead816cf73a3ad7de24
505.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000F79dd294ee84748fb65F770369D067a8c5370
Tx: 0x001200552a4beda9391c751debf79ef16a91ff74fa2f8e311f0e086f9bab9ff2
508.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x0017000f004f78d70c0d665cacd0bf210b45b9d767e2381b075ee4e247e63e89
204.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:21:33 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x000e0045281a980a4943b011705f23e9bede4fff9a3e54c65d4aabb5555dfb8a
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