Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,155.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,148.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1148 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,724.61 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,344.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,084.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net receiver
Unknown type
645.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
439.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
18 tx
21,192.23 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:18:21 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,148.3 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:19:33 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
23,739.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:17:09 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,007.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:20:44 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:15:58 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
17,557.73 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:21:55 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
3,408.61 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:14:46 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
6,321.16 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:23:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,344.98 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
222.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x007c001c2bf3a551972e6a300b39a3500b771df64fd3b3cac5063a51e207453c
2,344.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x005e002b69536e965d908fdba85aa8d470fc95ac5893ab4b19c6d9a9697eebab
439.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x00780026552ed551c04cfce4f63f366f4250c116e07c5a732f6bbc44114c44fb
123.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0072000f728d0b343c4d8921960ae452a004c6946ad5554e115d51dfb9c7c160
645.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x002e000e5b4df2254e0dccf568f1d560b8ed503060e37bdaad388eea0563473f
379.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:19:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x002100131f18191b00b591433cf21908baa4ce4bffba98c4456c72d4d5fe773c