Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:14:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11.91
Unexplained QUAI: 2,096.05
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
6.9x above local average
177x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
2,107.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2108 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.91 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
8.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
Net sender
Unknown type
3.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
2,107.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:14:18 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:13:07 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
11.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:15:29 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:11:56 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:10:46 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:16:41 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
330.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:09:35 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:17:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8.06 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:14:19 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
8.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00500045f9a28a93433cbe5b69f6b6f6fa3eee1f234be61cd969342f87418dfa
3.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004f001bab6945457b1fc84721c97b214298bade542c0452f204e828206cf97e