Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:08:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 676.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 100
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
100 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
0x004160DCf74B0db9cA6CA77a24269cee58757Ba3 -> 0x00e3B7F1D13bBCfCD9f7ae97b7BFc60096534819 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
574.96 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
201.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
154.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00155b6eA28CFE8DB1374c39e0ec92c57d03eF25
Net sender
Unknown type
111.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
Net sender
Unknown type
106.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004160DCf74B0db9cA6CA77a24269cee58757Ba3 → 0x00e3B7F1D13bBCfCD9f7ae97b7BFc60096534819
2 repeated flows • 100 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 574.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:08:28 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
7.39 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:07:14 P.M.
-2 min
20 tx
717.83 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:06:03 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
676.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:09:39 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
12.92 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:04:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:10:50 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate54 tx
1,552.03 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:03:40 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:12:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
201.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
101.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
From: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002700523012d55f52a987bf44dae9d2c567a69d704dae2460632009ca10df18
154.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f004a0b9ae734231de4d4dac473074f4d309d384938f78162906d611861de
111.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
From: 0x00155b6eA28CFE8DB1374c39e0ec92c57d03eF25
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021002bcecbb111ef31238946fdf9068dc40349a1eb8a0bed8e93ebac452359
106.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
From: 0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550056c7bc38b974cc17254d052f7012cf1191a58b6c3346d482a1ab3ecd0a
201.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00470079fe2ae53fdd4cac23b98b947ea1097b509e1cc4500b98432597c01894
1.21 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:41 P.M.
From: 0x004160DCf74B0db9cA6CA77a24269cee58757Ba3
To: 0x00e3B7F1D13bBCfCD9f7ae97b7BFc60096534819
Tx: 0x0059009d65a6ffc4032f7f87723f73c1276b92eb20fbf91ffb3a792560991ff2
100 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x004160DCf74B0db9cA6CA77a24269cee58757Ba3
To: 0x00e3B7F1D13bBCfCD9f7ae97b7BFc60096534819
Tx: 0x0067004396f3bae719c9b7116a1961f5877506b433ab9e60fab968859b9e4a32