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Spike bucket

09/09/2026, 6:26:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/09/2026, 6:26:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 6:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,709.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 587.1
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
8,709.36 QUAI
587.1 QI
Avg confidence
71.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8709 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 6:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,709.36 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,643.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,517.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006193D0A2D7D8D68eB1f365C6e86c5981223f05
Net sender
Unknown type
1,483.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
1,145.88 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000000x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows587.1 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,709.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,643.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

10 transactions
1,120.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x00455B429136EEA27741a48f8EfdD3f800aC9EEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022007b2e63425059f703380189161b68cd0d630d5a81a3c7c30b5e87000acd
Open txWallet profile
1,643.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690051b848be6ce6ec6f9db5d7cf414a1e0166602b4ac584892084ca13c00c
Open txWallet profile
1,517.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650032e6613ad74a444c3cbbb33312c7f562e3edca4c1d97d19be2a6016465
Open txWallet profile
918.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x00411C1b51aEC7C8b7F2BB722252ABB6A0DAF086
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270053f47b2fb89bff72b5657824e2a4190a2393eea11722543f2ff85f9c3c
Open txWallet profile
879.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x0023A5425Db9c16Fe3B53D6De5a3903FC5f1CA07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770077dd89af7fd71f3ff46354d515ad7c0a711d7526a39115697330186775
Open txWallet profile
1,483.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x006193D0A2D7D8D68eB1f365C6e86c5981223f05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051002a00775858aa32cacc122a09d8d27a753ce819c5f1db5817b6b69a705e
Open txWallet profile
1,145.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:49 P.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0026814d882414ad7f2107265e611a9d201834d95dd2abe34d0915ba87e2
Open txWallet profile
201.27 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006b005f2b01ba7712af93d5e4492919723c3c56ce53147a56a495d991a5a3f5
Open txWallet profile
192.91 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0065000622d8857b3814c6dee955d68e7ba2ba18f7f4eaa35e060370ec919064
Open txWallet profile
192.91 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:26:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00110050fe6deadefa4882a1b7bd7461948f16cff0bcd8b27225a526d7f3161d
Open txWallet profile