Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,425.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 398.68
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
398.68 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,425.7 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,307.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0027d5e400BBb54451288CEcCB313f5971B5f8Dc
Net sender
Unknown type
1,031.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
536.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
266.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,425.7 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:11:09 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:09:57 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,425.7 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:12:21 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:08:43 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:07:30 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:13:34 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:14:46 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate24 tx
23,007.77 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:06:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,307.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
266.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c000240edfb3873b63abba10adad6e7394942a3c9ccd74ce3ac686761e21a
1,307.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00786ccf25508419ef0313f349a13d6dcce93311fa22386ef2b5894ecf2c
1,031.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0027d5e400BBb54451288CEcCB313f5971B5f8Dc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005500379bbb28b2f2641e8fccdaba47d4b7f8b5e3c38d3ace2936d7928facd3
536.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068001ad5e564364873fd04207f9ddcf6a235faa168db6b337b488533df9a34
156.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580070361efe167adf81a3435fbb9b09792e64c10775547ae0104a25213dce
126.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0011A05789bFc813F2c40cB743C3d267Dafb0B7A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c002a2ca7a4ed3a6213d10941703862b2ca926bb45a07b6d73d638337c8ae