Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 5:06:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
89% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 462.36
Unexplained QUAI: 57.8
Explained QI: 481.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
520.16 QUAI
481.02 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 520 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
481.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
481.02 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
443.43 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
119.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
108.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 481.02 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 443.43 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
520.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:06:13 P.M.
-1 min
27 tx
766.56 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:04:57 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:07:25 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
987.84 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:03:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:08:36 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:02:23 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:09:48 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate53 tx
20,651.84 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/09/2026, 5:00:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
240.51 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:13 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
240.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:32 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0005003793b43e64ebe642b5db3486c8a833d0b6de6c2b1aa972ac5dcd1b7ad8
240.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f002efd18fccacc7c997763e328b6caa6923c2f05474639a542e334c48d35
107.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560011fcf405f477dedaeded6c96bfd78d981aefd0a6f2f514ceb763dc9a58
119.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e004db912200bb073e3da3822e6433bfb423532723006ad8cd4a136bf6c5e
108.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x00409bf2031c15A36187350F8FE2C63Db2C8A9bf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000100406ae213441be0ed8aa776b89e9a2c3cfb1c64b415d276bb2fc79e66d4
108.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076004ae79c9d2087fc66e42b2cd0a57cdaeb5e4af3c2385c1450bcbaea30d1
7.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0030007a5a5641c6fc1746f01d2ba6cb6f499d7ef487533c8f5ae55578843da4
11.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 5:06:06 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005200382321d6612aa4f9f89e84c07ac3621b62098cb79dc5f1d17f842625cc
