Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 4:17:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 103.34
Unexplained QUAI: 213.54
Explained QI: 501.88
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
316.88 QUAI
501.88 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 317 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
501.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
501.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
103.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 501.88 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:16:23 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
316.88 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:17:39 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
16,673.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:15:02 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
103.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:18:52 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
9,737.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:13:51 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
8,379.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:20:04 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
4.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:12:39 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
16,730.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:21:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
250.99 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:17:47 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
250.99 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:17:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0015004de1f81a54c18bca51c995237605ca8b3f9bab557569fbe06d689606bd
103.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:17:44 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x001e001a57bd4a1c2b2d20338cb60f0f54063382ea4981366655cecf8b2e07db
250.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:17:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00090064d72370707c50a6940118bdcbd53d35ab0fb516009a5f384e7a53ccf8