Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 4:13:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,510.64
Unexplained QUAI: 8,226.97
Explained QI: 252.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,737.61 QUAI
252.38 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 9738 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,504.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,504.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
252.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
252.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
5.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
4.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:12:39 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
9,737.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:13:51 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:11:26 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
16,673.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:15:02 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:10:15 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:16:23 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:07:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,504.82 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:13:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:13:50 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00090022e07d26bb28ad84f45f9454551ab599d2cd6875915e9e86ab004d0520
1,504.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:13:34 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x00040071da4cb35f459721ac1e7fa0459504f0312df4c358c26c033d77f8af9b
252.38 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007700071e597edfbaa17e08d53064e59ff59069e2d414b2099fc98576298e4c