Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10.78
Unexplained QUAI: 312.23
Explained QI: 511.43
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
323.01 QUAI
511.43 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 323 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
511.44 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
511.44 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
10.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 511.43 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
18 tx
585.57 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:05:22 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
323.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:06:35 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:04:09 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:07:49 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,101.11 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:02:57 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
-4 min
55 tx
620.48 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:01:42 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 4:10:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
255.72 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:06:07 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
255.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:06:35 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000b0065d3542f024d11d8d6ee621b0205ac7975509dd92fd2d177d98c79eef5
255.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:06:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a00779d470d8760cb41e3459206a713b291eb2f13f9dbbfddd2e56299f27f
10.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 4:06:07 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0065001023c278c5941698aac40986c2e68a655c67bccf3e751fa8358469780e