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Spike bucket

09/09/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/09/2026, 4:05:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

53% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 312.23

Unexplained QUAI: 273.34

Explained QI: 766.79

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume

Relative context

0.2x above local average

1.8x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

585.57 QUAI

766.79 QI

Avg confidence

77.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + low confidence + 586 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 37

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/09/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

766.8 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

766.8 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

211.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05

Net sender

Unknown type

110.58 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B

Net sender

Unknown type

101.19 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

3 repeated flows • 766.79 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 211.03 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 18. The remaining 12 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.