Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,263.54
Unexplained QUAI: 10,767.08
Explained QI: 470.28
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
8
34.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
16,030.62 QUAI
470.28 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0019A316d27FBC2f4d626c7BE36280b313108C58.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 16031 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0019A316d27FBC2f4d626c7BE36280b313108C58.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,263.54 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019A316d27FBC2f4d626c7BE36280b313108C58
Net sender
Unknown type
911.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net sender
Unknown type
901.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
881.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Net sender
Unknown type
871.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 470.28 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,263.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
16,030.62 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
-1 min
26 tx
80,427.44 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:22:55 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
5,263.54 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:25:25 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
182,801.4 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:21:43 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
390 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:26:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:20:28 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
98.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:27:52 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:19:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
911.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019A316d27FBC2f4d626c7BE36280b313108C58
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
235.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0049006791f20eb60d798ed6595a78670aa43b46e87c0ece3de815885dda798d
235.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004a0061de592d28f73216c6bc38b5ced043f9144e8bf3f8a9a364432a7a01de
866.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001300137bd931d7228d0521834c017f86409e90949281fac75131e9229b9ab2
871.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038003eab7003df539867663a52c411e936c7f9f11c8fca16adfa0d6976c483
881.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110061d65ed9a245e430fb549453f682e8331e92bbfcd63c6bd749ef1ec400
901.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009004388466af6c5c6f296d799200d651585478e374f96220bf98f6deda65c
830.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045005870779fee657b7ac111354dbda85c1e4cdb93c7fdff2e973b2b66269f
911.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:24:21 P.M.
From: 0x0019A316d27FBC2f4d626c7BE36280b313108C58
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005001fc0d7cb6e833af63e35dcb84f84cb98ab21a2a6a6878386e79376046d