Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,407.82
Unexplained QUAI: 557.59
Explained QI: 547.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
32
Observable rows
9
28.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
1,965.41 QUAI
547.38 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1965 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,327.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
Net sender
Unknown type
1,008.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
549.39 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
549.39 QI across 3 visible rows
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
108.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 547.38 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,327.86 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate56 tx
13,649.69 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:04:24 P.M.
+1 min
32 tx
1,965.41 QUAI • 51 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:05:36 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
+2 min
10 tx
1,415.86 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:06:51 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
441.29 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:01:52 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:08:04 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
12,998.32 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:09:16 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
5,499.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 3:00:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,008.62 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
69.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00650078d58fbd87f96555a2ff2c80ea14cad148d0817645db69af17d0e0f788
104.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150000662a78efe95ea1cae5f703d16a43fddd86ca4c63742ad43e48676bd8
106.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0004d2462c4b5572a140e41a39853243c52d20f1ce755beab0849403a37a
108.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001900673cc6f09577094803241fa5e143aec4ac1ff6d41f3acd4028b797062d
1,008.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a006eafbd64d463d43d0b863f7a2ac5c522bd8626a16a28be484c6396f284
273.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0042007155bda28e521bd1c579df8b8e7b21e5a80f85b30e9d7af6403cacd1f2
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021005b07bb698f2cec27668b93ffae70562dd41cf5c9a32201bd20212befc0
10.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:34 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x0053007fb24843de3afe2c736a76ca01f878f801a9a14d0f3fba429bca0da2f3
273.92 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:12 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00500075415d80d25a95a2d369baad007cab7ea6d48e021b1520c0d0b472ae63
