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Spike bucket

09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
72% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,407.82
Unexplained QUAI: 557.59
Explained QI: 547.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
32
Observable rows
9
28.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
1,965.41 QUAI
547.38 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1965 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,327.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
Net sender
Unknown type
1,008.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
549.39 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
549.39 QI across 3 visible rows
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
108.63 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 547.38 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,327.86 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 32. The remaining 23 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,008.62 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
69.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00650078d58fbd87f96555a2ff2c80ea14cad148d0817645db69af17d0e0f788
104.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150000662a78efe95ea1cae5f703d16a43fddd86ca4c63742ad43e48676bd8
Open txWallet profile
106.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a0004d2462c4b5572a140e41a39853243c52d20f1ce755beab0849403a37a
Open txWallet profile
108.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001900673cc6f09577094803241fa5e143aec4ac1ff6d41f3acd4028b797062d
Open txWallet profile
1,008.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a006eafbd64d463d43d0b863f7a2ac5c522bd8626a16a28be484c6396f284
Open txWallet profile
273.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0042007155bda28e521bd1c579df8b8e7b21e5a80f85b30e9d7af6403cacd1f2
Open txWallet profile
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021005b07bb698f2cec27668b93ffae70562dd41cf5c9a32201bd20212befc0
Open txWallet profile
10.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:34 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x0053007fb24843de3afe2c736a76ca01f878f801a9a14d0f3fba429bca0da2f3
273.92 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 3:05:12 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00500075415d80d25a95a2d369baad007cab7ea6d48e021b1520c0d0b472ae63
Open txWallet profile