Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
47% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,350.42
Unexplained QUAI: 1,511.23
Explained QI: 289.7
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
578x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,861.65 QUAI
289.7 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2862 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,345.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,137.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
291.71 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
291.71 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0023593748F8a384c8749ACfAC6e317192DB0f35
Net receiver
Unknown type
208.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 289.7 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2,861.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:13:20 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
23,692.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
26,625.18 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:10:53 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
4.95 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:14:32 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
2.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:15:47 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
200.24 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:16:59 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
130.82 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,137.15 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:40 P.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e007dc9f19fcfa57a0054ec1447441cdea4ab628797aa502fe836aab81a18
2.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:40 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0044007c635cc33afc3995ee63102091b2c88ad3d1da0d6837e871566df912ff
289.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006800193b483c00f38fb2a8b8717f62e4f6172b78b30d478592d88327603e17
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001d00120086d67920e81aedf0b88cd5778ac925507c226206e5f975ff5fae6a
208.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0023593748F8a384c8749ACfAC6e317192DB0f35
Tx: 0x0018003b44d32383a3909f201def119f4d2f3e9a605c6776be9599ef2ff71946
1,137.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x0038001ceb3596cb6d42b85eeb06faaa59185b49fd46c2358df46c6aa447727d