Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:12:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,521.58
Unexplained QUAI: 22,171.26
Explained QI: 581.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
0.9x previous minute
8.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
5
62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
23,692.84 QUAI
581.02 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 23693 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
1,513.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,513.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
581.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
581.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 581.02 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
23,692.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate8 tx
26,625.18 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:10:53 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,861.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:13:20 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
4.95 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:14:32 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
130.82 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:15:47 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
11.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:07:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,513.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
290.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:32 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0011001ef428a97da2b053f439b693b0135292bda032f41b4e7eb78e0c173eb8
1,513.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:32 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x001900509591c6a3a53bb138d6bdf53d76168ac273b0d8c1bb5514ab7488cf24
2.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:32 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00210057c56467cd6ce00c524a772e1661b440f576fad69c8eda7c85f5c69ab7
290.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00070006245475fcc8cdbcc35bf22bd3be34041953211b97753ba61018647768
5.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:12:02 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0031006a2fb9527deb026cfcc61511d87b99482b1a1e04cd90a8a49c81513fa2