Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:11:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,687.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 582.05
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
24x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
23,687.44 QUAI
582.05 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 23687 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,587.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
Net sender
Unknown type
3,589.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
582.06 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
582.06 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 582.05 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,587.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
26,625.18 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:10:53 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
23,692.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
2,861.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:13:20 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
130.82 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
11.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:07:16 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
4.95 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:14:32 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
339.42 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:06:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.29 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
19,998.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a002afd760bcfe75fc337d1a3c5b7d5b6e6aff7ed3ebed00ca2255791f6fa
3,589.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0000b72bed0ef6e211f82adb55d22e6eff4ef2b38e49741930b447de2dfd
290.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00160075099a0f4c71897901c5b4a49f147d306a838795c9ef758b64d6c80672
97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:29 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x0058199deA006A7d58dA686D18c0EB43Ca046765
Miner wallet
To: 0x000968d87BfB0F2006799fe3Cf180C33Ab831235
Tx: 0x004e006a78c065e249ba8d391350cb7775bba58836269c0de86ff3a16881cf01
2.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:29 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0015413BF99F3894E32d61D73E67A1E6c327F3D4
Tx: 0x004000358634215c0395a9e2596be9402ead7b2b02cbb6ceffe247be91086cb9
291.38 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000c00356ce8e701f292dfcd4f62addd2dcbe1ba105594761b498da0c2971a70