Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,626
Unexplained QUAI: 19,999.18
Explained QI: 291.35
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
204x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
26,625.18 QUAI
291.35 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903 • 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 26625 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903 • 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903
Net sender
Unknown type
3,636 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
2,990 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,990 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
291.35 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
26,625.18 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:10:53 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
130.82 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:08:27 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
23,692.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:12:06 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
11.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:07:16 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
2,861.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:13:20 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
339.42 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:06:04 P.M.
-5 min
31 tx
808.02 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:04:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,600 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:10:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903
To: 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:10:40 P.M.
From: 0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903
To: 0x00109936072E567c7820FFa89DD06fDa3c5a7214
Tx: 0x0000004cbf4786b35e2622694a8d83bc19617311a8a0e886204337699e958888
36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:10:40 P.M.
From: 0x00255Ffea5fDD01CEEE598AecD87Da1656a84903
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0052004de5f60fe4a6091d646f6de5e15192d5f0e5562bb48e61a15f72166335
291.35 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:10:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0009007179fb22c0cd1413feb9f0fa22da3f95a7bb27f5b4e4dce07baca1471a
2,990 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:10:09 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Tx: 0x007300417a2d5c34a0092409ea9bd86c38a3269e02bd2aec399d977b69d36684