Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 1:05:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,304.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 303.45
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
62.87 QUAI
303.45 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 63 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
304.94 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
303.45 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
303.45 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 304.94 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
39 tx
1,214.21 QUAI • 52 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:04:19 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
62.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:05:30 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,164.81 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:02:58 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
20,317.08 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:06:53 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
975.84 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:01:46 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:08:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,997.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:00:30 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 1:09:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.17 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
103.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006500291eb8cd32b98378599b699fbfbcd7beae04eb29388b0304fd8da345a4
99.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004400441f8f39c553a17a1af2e8007d8b79b14dd7565b505af8124f7b10daa7
101.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f000d81916ae084c9a28167995f851d40e4117e73aa6795ff9231c0d75ae0
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:30 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0039003698dd24fc031e1765f67ab8096b8a8b07e2cb1e97b52bf9ebbe69f605
303.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 1:05:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001e007f3eeb2938153e661466a753e484278f7dbe43d5a92122517c85895ae0