Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 12:15:00 P.M. to 09/09/2026, 12:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 713.08
Unexplained QUAI: 1.52
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 303.45
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
714.6 QUAI
303.45 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 715 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 12:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
437.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
437.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
189.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0032C24493ce1D929bB62a87c40896755544eae0
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
86.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
6.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:14:41 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
714.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:15:55 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,667.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:13:29 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
267.68 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:17:11 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,850.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:12:16 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
156.68 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:18:23 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
80.92 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:11:04 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
420 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 12:09:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
437.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 12:15:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
67.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 12:15:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f
Tx: 0x000c003b2806abfd07d994ab0b91cd4230b219cf6a8dde297709b583261f9608
86.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 12:15:56 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x007e003e8e177ee491cbd160b16d52a27477d2cab824ebdd00451a2cb315bca4
121.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 12:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0032C24493ce1D929bB62a87c40896755544eae0
Tx: 0x0060000811f857944a352e145692c6bfacb427f8f3eaaa43076d14f6b969fdc9
437.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 12:15:25 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x00660039c2dccf5a5cdde49e57650f35e4f0b2ee97fdf61ebf3f7528fbd1ad23
