Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 87.5
Unexplained QUAI: 392.72
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
480.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 480 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
87.5 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
30.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
24.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
14.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
8.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:23:35 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
480.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:24:47 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:22:22 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:26:00 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
545 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:21:09 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
50,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:27:14 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:19:54 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
289.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:18:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30.77 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
8.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b007b437b874862ef3d8c295253d2254ac8df4cdefbf0f8c08e6eb1091664
7.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00540037647e695667679b93f41c652be70bdef30bc4d3ebf1254984b4c70cca
14.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002b004809e81fee1426f489cd6f9fb74ea3ea99aaaddba02623379e91f7bbaa
30.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b0025f929e6fdbab242fa6d3fa32aadbe09166b2cb03a45ee8a0a5027cb5d
1.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002c0016c3f87d0cc5cac76e1bebc3b1915d480f39061c299c69d12535ccc7cc
24.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00640041d6cca24c670d67c9d05a53c679f4ec90d1f25b009712ee395e88ec8e