Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 10:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 10:03:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 10:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.83
Unexplained QUAI: 576.4
Explained QI: 310.48
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
3
5.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
68
Asset volume
584.23 QUAI
310.48 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 584 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 10:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
310.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
310.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
3.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
3.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:02:37 A.M.
+1 min
53 tx
584.23 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:03:53 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,048.55 QUAI • 57 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:01:23 A.M.
+2 min
33 tx
1,002.95 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:05:05 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:00:01 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
926.59 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:06:17 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/09/2026, 9:58:40 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate2 tx
55,500 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 10:07:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
310.48 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:03:04 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:03:31 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0043001a9e31d204ada49aa4a4ac783071afcd479140a2d40e169e972a0925c5
3.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:03:31 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005800388ac4bfb8fa430b2d9607c8c6d36023115943a43284977a287b850ba5
310.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 10:03:04 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Tx: 0x006300024ca226b970097e9fbd3b7b39c7081cae64e32baaf62fc0e04acb68a6