Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:30:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,677.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
194.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 194 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,753.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,505.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
827.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001fC58ff77B61Af4235c5458977eb50BA090de1
Net receiver
Unknown type
827.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
Net sender
Unknown type
124.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,753.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
194.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:30:03 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,681.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:28:52 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
4,896.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:31:16 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
110.57 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:27:41 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
357.69 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:26:30 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
102.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:32:36 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
120.61 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:33:47 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
239.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:25:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,505.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
32.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007D4b87185Bfe7c4cE4f5d3d1E0F602EAf0BF65
Tx: 0x006c007cb69d1f7abdf991a74fa9a7141bf92b2bdf679902296b0f14fa5858d0
63.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007D3dA731fe6b2b8Cc79B8d98F0A07A3956e0e2
Tx: 0x00540041d632a4285f2e62bfe43dc6a99f18ba5f429b4496d5e05e73eceeee4e
124.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
From: 0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00396beec4fd125fa24088045cf294a8e7f0bf8d04383c2b41f118979f24
123.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
From: 0x0079292f301D1F3F3b3190BcCE4519Edb9DaeAF4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056006db451f46ba23052e6bc4a7854d770f0425f24aa225a39822766031231
1,505.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a007dd1489c4b2e82179bbe1f53d151847be2a954e3db06a0f45d6c6a3846
827.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:30:16 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x001fC58ff77B61Af4235c5458977eb50BA090de1
Tx: 0x0070000973f856d56c73e7957393848194d32b82f31ad52f7b3079570d042448
