Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:22:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 316.15
Unexplained QUAI: 1,889.78
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
4.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
7
63.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
2,205.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 2206 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
179.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
136.41 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Net receiver
Unknown type
86.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005e4E7CeAf61Bfd75Ce3464Be8A83E99d27cE0C
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
506.64 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:21:41 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
2,205.93 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:22:55 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
555.84 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:20:22 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate22 tx
4,975.23 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:24:07 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
432.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:19:10 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
239.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:25:19 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
3,416.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:17:59 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
3,922.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:16:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
86.69 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:53 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
24.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005f8E7236450FD8DB0D4D6f14a516120c4224aD
Tx: 0x00130070ce0cc9a1e35bff8cd2a8a4bb8f9f4bdad7c1cfb490d6700263689f24
86.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Tx: 0x004c0056a44453755f856f7cb7ec4c808d780dc0b401306fe034d7e338cdc3d8
28.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005F5F58c14849570Fb4b064a0D9430d33211B22
Tx: 0x00160039f77aef3618194fb701dd735b4fd412bdb0ca3046ea53c0d21e1c8142
49.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e4E7CeAf61Bfd75Ce3464Be8A83E99d27cE0C
Tx: 0x0016000a8d36b577faa10808d5acb0a45b0f82427bcc893aa2a9e74cf76f7317
55.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:40 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00768F00f2e743590e4bA20C5D2fbB568e60c77C
Tx: 0x000a005a87d8f4aac0a1c5fab82d76a57094369ca3580fd6833d68174ff5323e
37.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00755a92D1215bd78F9a5B3C8B327C894cbDEC13
Tx: 0x001e0063638d801725b3da446bb1a42d484d5aee63225d19007e42fa5407bd70
34.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:22:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005dE9CcBec621E169d77e76d1993710Ade21AAb
Tx: 0x006d006d2c3e7e755afe288222e8aed1c029a4759bab3de82055cf997742ff15