Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:16:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 507.15
Unexplained QUAI: 3,415.75
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
24x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
12
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
3,922.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 3923 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
204.34 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
185.29 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
117.53 QUAI across 4 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
98.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0053D18Bc4dAA1C1441d766F1AD69b3eB55a3d10
Net receiver
Unknown type
82.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
706.58 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:15:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate16 tx
3,922.9 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:16:47 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
160.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:14:23 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
3,416.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:17:59 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
1,547.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:13:12 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
432.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:19:10 A.M.
-4 min
23 tx
1,377.76 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
555.84 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:20:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
98.69 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:27 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
31.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00557a2C74b18d16E8515D8D650F2f6160c24aD2
Tx: 0x0041000b6affa480a6628819b43ff3bd7a148c8f71fe3e5ab3f17bf684d528fc
25.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007aFE0D5eaCBE2319D18E6560b79a3ee8e0C8DE
Tx: 0x006d00528ebca2d0a23593160ef960a17ede565b24e05eaa2592a6a3de643999
33.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047534632e326B1BEE7538fdD95c0112BA0A88E
Tx: 0x000c003beac2f6283ccf16aca9096de8dfce9c4e127d9e8f5fa561e4ddd876eb
31.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074717FBace51810036d4e1670a9ddcD75A4C1b
Tx: 0x003f00471e008a67b1f08f6913230ee8a6699c76e63aca5a687ad350e41672e4
82.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0053D18Bc4dAA1C1441d766F1AD69b3eB55a3d10
Tx: 0x002b0070a8244d9ef630ccee78eda806a5eb34cf2c50a646344c3d0581c3e47d
98.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0010000974a81c71a2946f52a9935394e36c6e4a814223a26ea64600ea42b5eb
32.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00504246a0f71C85Ef2D8580E1fa991f56D94db3
Tx: 0x0066007f3d60cb012e89b6ac8fe3c6051e74fe8a04c485198ac970601654374b
32.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0040B196cF048Af3F1475341022156582926ED8C
Tx: 0x005c0039180ad5ddcdd97d1966aeb7c483faaea91d71007757930a9e4c76996f
23.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ccc49b771F30eAFc72D5b874883DFd5d38Bf
Tx: 0x004e0046a9c7a4f6bb447e848ec47c91fabe1c9f7d2485f4f06cf3e9d95e9b3e
21.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004075C089B46f3dA118ABa76C81A9af449A9547
Tx: 0x003200712b85414dc0471bf03ad48b8bd061ce1fcb380c5ce549818705de780f
37.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x003d007d6fad5a6a6dcda9eb89a12b7bb389f6a621cfd94609bf827444a7405c
58.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:16:01 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004D225656da39f28238E3B0805dCAC0afC5d0b7
Tx: 0x000000704ae5b3025653f607c06ae03a5c022d643f674a6154e653bf2d16bcf9