Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:09:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
84% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 482.05
Unexplained QUAI: 91.17
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
573.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 573 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
213.55 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
154.46 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
114.03 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00231945FB84204B30fF3335d7b5E0e61A5ACdF8
Net receiver
Unknown type
74.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002188EC9984A54E57644339939F6BC639B2D181
Net receiver
Unknown type
74.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
14 tx
626.68 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:08:22 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
573.22 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:09:33 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate20 tx
15,868.27 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:07:07 A.M.
+2 min
21 tx
856.44 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:10:47 A.M.
-3 min
21 tx
1,310.37 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:05:55 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
1,377.76 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
-4 min
23 tx
2,395.32 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:04:43 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
1,547.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:13:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
74.99 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:54 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00231945FB84204B30fF3335d7b5E0e61A5ACdF8
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
33.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0047534632e326B1BEE7538fdD95c0112BA0A88E
Tx: 0x0036001b9ff208388391e7eb381b515f6520b53eea8e555549c5ac941ff5f08c
74.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00231945FB84204B30fF3335d7b5E0e61A5ACdF8
Tx: 0x0054002fb2b68b9c88fe413cbcf31b1a580a7575702948e61f0451bb25c4b051
29.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001aA242417ef94781277cEa5548D807b455223a
Tx: 0x0024007ad0672454c39e618f99de4befa707ba7b52a91cae335f98f96e29348e
24.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0017bE394941A14825D130Aac4B9bd6C80329992
Tx: 0x00040033c7d4d5991e8ed8f528062f5efcb0c69bb1edeff6fe90d94ff676ada5
29.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00228838f4165323A8b6fB12E1F1ACd2bE445c4A
Tx: 0x00690025fe1f065f8b0d1c05f53754b14886203446d376eb5d8700fa6a630027
32.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0060001901d36df9649019b7c8d048f8d9eb8c00a17323c7be197127a7cea3c7
65.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00380057cb9bfeab64aec05a8c029175807661cb9eef6052a23390fd9e516258
34.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002202c0E48553C84849543dbBf705a284Be5Be1
Tx: 0x003a00598be5ede539749ae9842e5071dd1f9ce7281dd0511ec1244628021e83
36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00168a4566F11e5E76099FE73aA8B34A286D91F4
Tx: 0x00300065d43bc276bb4eec90510a3f7f117c9ca2664bc28f5b75574e393e489a
74.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:11 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002188EC9984A54E57644339939F6BC639B2D181
Tx: 0x001b003f05d859df4d672a92a30a83afc057b44e2219ad448ebc86a6af787bd9
24.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001620e6089Ca4668b12301DacE43BB613ED2863
Tx: 0x005a005ed21cc70d3a80ed8fbc7f728c81b1a01112c1995c63b8ff991490700c
23.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:09:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003C9D6F944f2CCBe494f4BDce8b2a3fBdB1cc88
Tx: 0x004a0035385ff15d4c6d8d45d80519b7993c7dc58714a1e801651c58bfb2587e