Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:08:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 610.3
Unexplained QUAI: 16.38
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
9
64.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
626.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 627 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
391.93 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Net receiver
Unknown type
295.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
127.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
91.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Net receiver
Unknown type
73.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
626.68 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:08:22 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate20 tx
15,868.27 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:07:07 A.M.
-2 min
21 tx
1,310.37 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:05:55 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
573.22 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:09:33 A.M.
-3 min
23 tx
2,395.32 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:04:43 A.M.
+3 min
21 tx
856.44 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:10:47 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
6,633.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:03:32 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
1,377.76 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:12:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
295.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
295.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x00430057af7cd2b8469f95fc2a9aaa36a5b962ccab6f72b043d782faf9703920
29.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b1c0FfA08f9671c36CA3F567B229C81356573
Tx: 0x002e0027a8434c57931803699c6e389f740dc479366b9f6842d10f30829e3095
29.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002123822642C46D03FA1D56B4E2E3a27DDc99Ab
Tx: 0x003f002c22d073f092eda8feab496cb70ad7e12f2026a4dc53aab75e017253cb
24.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001d3356311Eb47632d24A5e6Dcda39DFD059e76
Tx: 0x0036002909951a103785dd09731241be1b5b9a85b30100a05c569e75b8b5f178
36.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00382b3BDF4a245414e8826e71a6c2471f2f7e83
Tx: 0x00040052092f58d01b286bbf8a5e5b30aac71d7f309f9c7d55082c050bda121e
36.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0014A371fA43A1E9EB7203fc4b44582Cfb086567
Tx: 0x006b005b2f67de80efe261102f7678334564d0e17dee25bed0193ad694cb60e9
73.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x004e00784faa08bf9db3c5a9e3ca7af64bc511f72e58044c6392c8888bfd7db7
25.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0037325D793ee3cdDC0b6D0d9E338774Ace9b9F0
Tx: 0x0004007d41f382562558c435b60a030b54615055777f1c8a75eadef3994719a1
60.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:08:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0014572168bcfeA4042270AEcF5AC8deb0ddCfa4
Tx: 0x00790065adebf0a00b9cd1c82037b77d42d19bd8ecb420b17d51829b874db2cc
