Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 8:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 8:07:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 467.75
Unexplained QUAI: 15,400.52
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
12x previous minute
25x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
11
55.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
15,868.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 15868 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 8:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
185.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
153.35 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
129.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Net receiver
Unknown type
81.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001893cb15B0bC475a3D3736809902c8aF360fC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate20 tx
15,868.27 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:07:07 A.M.
-1 min
21 tx
1,310.37 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:05:55 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
626.68 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:08:22 A.M.
-2 min
23 tx
2,395.32 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:04:43 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
6,633.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:03:32 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
573.22 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:09:33 A.M.
+4 min
21 tx
856.44 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:10:47 A.M.
-5 min
56 tx
10,079.85 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/09/2026, 8:02:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
81.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:58 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
62.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:58 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001893cb15B0bC475a3D3736809902c8aF360fC6
Tx: 0x0011004bb436c1c0d57d715d076816ea58e17bfa9c14cd128038984790d96e8a
40.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a517169b0c237689765e5069c3E7D5E8e932
Tx: 0x002a0056b6a4189289d444ee6c0e80f4b7fdd60d0f79d841e1b2f68cf82ed442
81.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Tx: 0x00590030b0d2bdb5ced6c5babcada026f8958c173d07f2174f2d7bc983f832e2
39.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00130B31bCb2C6Fda71E0B2905AfD55c71717f89
Tx: 0x00310021909763c009bb6271ca4173853c7e22352a1969acc1c88f9bbe194e5d
34.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0017958Eb53950E4B02d6B97006ab982E16dF1F4
Tx: 0x006c003bb59dcb6b1eac54b397d9d40a736f0efc4291b943240c163c86c9b64c
39.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002f044B80cb32A2F8f6fF89e4328749a181C543
Tx: 0x0028000e3c5ab91e782060a951665070f6f9e6623d5447b59e78fff896bf17a2
28.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001636afDe633051360321110697A9b60da3BeB1
Tx: 0x004500776f29152462514a0ff33db91abeb6ccbbfa78bb972e0179e0e31c9070
23.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002dA7900D31968151Fae537909215d0105Cae93
Tx: 0x005e0063f8ab358ac5006f2541038880a69d4686efd2606adca5fdf2f950b2eb
59.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0016154D1B3876BE37A9f1cacE692108f18F7Ec3
Tx: 0x001d000752788d2043d2bbb24bedbc7b51a205f0860c01cfeaf6aab5e4c1a467
33.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0012cA41CB66D84c21ca12Fc19cF1c21D4fBD2c2
Tx: 0x0000006340e1ac25e702c833244c6bc60526ac7f223c4ed307d13aef319342ee
25.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 8:07:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002aAD18A54c74eA55E10E5f1Ce866bAe8684E75
Tx: 0x001900730c646ec8f10ed453273748bab5b81e01d3fbdf00ead392627100774b