Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 6:41:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 6:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 69,035.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
32,013.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32014 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
64,036.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
Net receiver
Unknown type
32,022.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
32,013.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
4,998.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,998.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,998.95 QUAI
From exchange: 32,013.61 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
32,013.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:41:16 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:40:06 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
37,027.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:42:28 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:38:55 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
7,689.29 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:37:44 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
3,963.88 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:43:39 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
39,995.96 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:36:33 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
39.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:44:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
32,022.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4,998.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075002fbb9b8eb8278a77e99b2e05fb208511ae13075a1fb0a2a796f91053cb
32,022.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x002876547d3aEf8445cE9b1C3DE961D4db9fdBf1
Tx: 0x004a00752785911be70af7cd57ba64c2860068793604142a241d1160bbc2d885
32,013.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:41:14 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x007e00170a42fb4c51963bd437ff61a0a41f1ffda27352bbc9271195413bd0db