Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 6:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 6:16:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 6:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
11% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5.39
Unexplained QUAI: 45.43
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
9.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
50.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 6:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005FeD394B8e9ee19f11CDC9A24Ae3Ee6d7D1BdB
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005f00659b808B9557A1581459e698922d2CD244
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
50.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:16:21 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
874.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:15:10 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
30,063.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:13:59 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
5.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:17:32 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:12:48 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
31,670.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:18:43 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:11:34 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
312.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 6:19:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:16:25 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:16:25 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x001400197cf22ffae17d3743dde1c2ca7aaf2f292d1456170f770f79cdba2bbf
2.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 6:16:25 A.M.
From: 0x005FeD394B8e9ee19f11CDC9A24Ae3Ee6d7D1BdB
To: 0x005f00659b808B9557A1581459e698922d2CD244
Tx: 0x0025004bee4e0d85036fe922fd4746d939cf340fb022fb7745fc6a57b933cf0f