Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:56:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,306.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
6,306.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6306 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,883.46 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2,847.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
Net sender
Unknown type
1,423 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,423 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
1,114.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,883.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:55:55 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
12,733.53 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:54:42 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
6,306.46 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:57:06 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
18,693.9 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:58:17 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10,360.12 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,779.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:52:20 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate20 tx
30,939.79 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:51:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,847.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2,847.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030026d1e726767a2b28c9e2fb7c00d0ac06ca86d5978109cd938fd7306e55
245.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800097f884724f7d3f2fa257a87efcb745b05d1cf9e103da351b2ddd199a6
1,114.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d003d067181cc8a0a864e2a73f485d3be9ba63f6abe69a4a70094f3847e9b
303.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014002edbb074879cbfd3d8047e6f948bad2210f69f7d01cd8dd81e46aea652
372.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072004653bd3245a55ea2ccdf63581bb68c9fce0b6292b0888f3fee43b98baf
1,423 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:56:23 A.M.
From: 0x0064634a2CfD929752e6DA17f0A2f0C3ee024598
To: 0x00201a9C0d87E0AB3e8e95D87b8c650AE1D3A4A5
Tx: 0x004e003471550d712e0c76b45d0579a670544f9b271878fa743233545d0ce79a