Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:47:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
92% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,265.76
Unexplained QUAI: 675.37
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
8,941.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8941 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,290 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,975.76 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,508.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,252.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
840.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
13 tx
18,982.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:46:19 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
8,941.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:47:31 A.M.
-2 min
23 tx
26,578.51 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
4,699.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:48:42 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
23,563.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:43:55 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
5,661.66 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:49:56 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
11,837.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:42:44 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate20 tx
30,939.79 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:51:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,508.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
105.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x0038005a51422bb3cb93f49f494fe016e80c8ba8a86ebfcfd852812d9d94bdc0
810.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288
Tx: 0x00410012a5289cd5e60ffe3c40d9a62b590ff86d8b4884e28bcd199da1205d35
739.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007aFE0D5eaCBE2319D18E6560b79a3ee8e0C8DE
Tx: 0x004a00623eb8cd2f1a01bd5264e740b0e267e5eb6709f2560953072825d975b8
840.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x004e001e8bb934b6d19c82d3dac75122a42fcf3f96a2eeccae10c720a847057d
2,252.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x006600750e7b32a2c0a7a9861f20ffc4fde26a0d64af177ba183c755402282e3
231.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078Bc2e7782713378F8fe2485e64C9413284C79
Tx: 0x006f00037db262724a68afd04a1a55f935f93066f917e43e45a15a5f73bcfce6
777.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x00780042416bc0bdbc0d44d6f2808bb066207e9159f4602e56a4ea99aaf1346d
2,508.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:47:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Tx: 0x0075002660c796a9605e32468be4582d612d88b85cb17457258f8412af3e1e3b