Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:46:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,696.45
Unexplained QUAI: 11,286.38
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
2.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
11
84.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
18,982.84 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 18983 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,356.85 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,677.85 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,345.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,241.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Net receiver
Unknown type
949.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
18,982.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:46:19 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate23 tx
26,578.51 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
23,563.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:43:55 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
8,941.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:47:31 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
11,837.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:42:44 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
4,699.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:48:42 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
9,361.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
5,661.66 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:49:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,345.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
107.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x003400550236c22e1124d35b5c3329b8c92a8be1c77c424ef5d58081d09f5561
1,241.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x005000550b61ab6e900bd06112e633bde53e34fb60ad3844499aa6483993998c
872.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Tx: 0x004d0079f10d19c084829cb59b2cb31bf00ec10ba365ebb8b47aba484feb0879
949.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x0070002fe5812f8b751977c500776fdb46a6d03522462e750eb35a66b89ec6b4
452.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
Tx: 0x006f000b442af715a392252932473d2a89a65971e81631f6074565d589828465
363.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x0027001214fd993875b8f280fcd32e4f6ba4ec2b95ddea97662930ab6dfa44b6
661.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
From: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004e0013bce7ef228b91aca1a1e27b49743ae12c6a9c1cd2490f2856c3b791c6
533.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
Tx: 0x00750007a8d5df35f4d09e5288181f6b9482a098b10a90887e779af57141dda9
728.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x007400611e0d16035f69bc09d11a2e5634a3c5afa8e6824097c0591181365120
440.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x002f000b469b55c3a7d1ad9c36a3a431eb8d6793c24bcd85a7ce2502c587ea49
1,345.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:46:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x000f004fd3a335eeb303831c4e06d3c36b2333744a5515a33159f95a36b39c8f
