Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,457.08
Unexplained QUAI: 12,121.44
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
6
26.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
26,578.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005cF1f83d088D0fD2cb0d1d0105BfcFc3CA015c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 26579 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005cF1f83d088D0fD2cb0d1d0105BfcFc3CA015c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,873.82 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005cF1f83d088D0fD2cb0d1d0105BfcFc3CA015c
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,072.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,583.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,690.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
974.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate23 tx
26,578.51 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
23,563.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:43:55 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
18,982.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:46:19 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
11,837.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:42:44 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
9,361.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
8,941.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:47:31 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
4,699.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:48:42 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
6,774.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:40:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,072.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005cF1f83d088D0fD2cb0d1d0105BfcFc3CA015c
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,690.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x005a003c736029cf47a7f19c104d1bffe283d1c5d829bc8b27eff2828ff06bf0
635.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Tx: 0x00510062f8601355ab8b76a185eb566c65135fbb2ecdec70fcd9814037865312
10,072.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005cF1f83d088D0fD2cb0d1d0105BfcFc3CA015c
Tx: 0x00010017f4d2cfecbd2e4276b6deccbf67d001a5dead795a6dfde9019ef30e0b
974.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x0025004c78f69b1388b95873f08c882386b1d68ef364359abccbc7b6542b40d2
918.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Tx: 0x001f00228791d06298ff4ca84fd63dcfc5c8ab9097732afdb4397074baa14fa6
166.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:45:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
Tx: 0x002c005d1a8380580dfb5b5ba26b19627e781c7bae4c4446aedbbc118333d38b