Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
79% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,385.16
Unexplained QUAI: 2,452.78
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
11,837.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 11838 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (21% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,634.94 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,750.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,322.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,671.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,358.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
9,361.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
11,837.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:42:44 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
6,774.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:40:22 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
23,563.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:43:55 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate18 tx
29,716.19 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:39:10 A.M.
+3 min
23 tx
26,578.51 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,277.79 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:37:56 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
18,982.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:46:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,322.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
814.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x00440022f7b3ad98e755ac3d7752be290040d95bf4833cac339c2e6f94e639c6
243.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00643dc72F39DB145DA23e61c09Ee4a55b819a02
Tx: 0x00700065cdbeff58f4a414220c2f2fb5e72cd6c7794718a3ae23fed2bc31caa1
1,671.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x002f003ba61b4b4c6f719a16696c8959c964a3a1a56eebbf9878ca861c7c8be5
782.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x006f00133036fdcc890d03ab9dd125629d5f14b3fdb0a8e5cd0a3cf299c07eba
1,358.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x0034005f30e861298f6464f65f10f6fde3f25b15ddfe0c0a1dc7ad022c389461
397.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x002c00016d73beda56a89d3543a7e3ca6b65563d0b93247ce35b026f7802f94a
794.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
Tx: 0x000f001786628ba8a0a06aa24195e0c28e1778f11fe6cb6842159a4f523161c9
3,322.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x005e00277bf871448ec1ccc777dde8f54b4be3acbf29217e0da391fc9e1da19c