Spike bucket
09/09/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/09/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 09/09/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,846.74
Unexplained QUAI: 17,869.92
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
11x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
15
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
28,716.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 28717 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/09/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,628.8 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,561.43 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,209.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,910.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Net receiver
Unknown type
997.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate21 tx
28,716.66 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:16:13 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,692.24 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:15:02 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,183.03 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:17:28 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
23,861.64 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:13:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:12:39 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
21,732.02 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:18:39 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
21,658.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:19:51 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
3.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/09/2026, 2:11:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,209.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
360.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x00190025f97678d18345ece017218ac5ce7124880ec2767029db9c45497a3460
121.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x002d001959f4281b8aa304c283bb048f655dd7e4ba392c82911acd72a4b9f2d4
414.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x004a007638a53013e5ce0a570a1b68a1b153d2afcbeac8456fbd7f08cf55ad69
562.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x0029007041c3fd17b431bea12d0c95e2f237def41f23bd56dc98193c223661cc
591.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x00760052fd8768aca1f81b004e84866dc9465a2ff99a3518708983e0cfa20290
131.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000e2061eF8C12D563Af9546f83a752619bB4A1f
Tx: 0x0024006be08beec7a6c0e47e76360a25a4b5bce6ed238a4092ac1f14c45a1f58
158.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
Tx: 0x000f00331ab616999b7fba1214104e6ad73a436aefab7f7c9999256b72352c28
234.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
Tx: 0x00240025277dadbc9deb6c50cd90d70623cba4e327a000c4ea9a50dd33d0b517
3,209.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Tx: 0x0069003f156b88c21e49586126b08e99f09b6a355fd862b05004f2df9fbfb721
2,910.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x007600647ca4a844bbd63a240c5bdcd3d6c5da51bdf3a41ae2a8029674125c76
997.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0007d128E0DB3B0296926e072Ad9311f0BC684Bf
Tx: 0x0069006ec6ada1850490f15813bfc69eb4beaffad8cf358fdd684b8681e32ebd
145.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Tx: 0x0017005c08ab385d45b2cf11a60527d74456f35f9a051f4b6d3b8238fa1694eb
493.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
Tx: 0x0012001d54ffe6422cdfe7741261441e670b1c4aa0524eae35be10a4cf7505e8
415.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x001c0069767e5d632bdb9569391698b6b2ab0a9e21e65a4ece2e0cda00efaef8
98.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/09/2026, 2:16:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
Tx: 0x00550022ec199326f52b86f4fc528085e111f0e95899929c7cc0f0f54de1b82b
