Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 09/08/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,980.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
3,980.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3980 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,980.11 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,261.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
Net sender
Unknown type
637.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
514.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d9d096ba283A0ac6A453ABdb913DF21090853
Net sender
Unknown type
287.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,980.11 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:10:18 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,980.11 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:11:30 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:09:07 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:12:42 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
3.58 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:07:56 P.M.
+3 min
12 tx
35.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:13:55 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate40 tx
6,568.39 QUAI • 54 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:06:44 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
9.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/08/2026, 6:15:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,261.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
155.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001006598cd38db6152e2306bb2c26a53bfd1bc275f37bc37b1559f06a80546
287.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x000d9d096ba283A0ac6A453ABdb913DF21090853
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c007866535070cfb680f8c23f5c82c17f3c4f45dbcde536949c64d7d25c0b
514.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059007e5790541cc685fdf25ca4c178b19308e44c0240de6fa94428fabacd1d
124.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x0005EF22Dff611f376446762c42A72565b9550D2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005600460ec870631321a00d2813d71079c2baa868587e922f77a555c7827c83
637.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0078cb916f33dd84f9478bebb91e3f0c005e1637a0225755608ae48a2f19
2,261.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 6:11:26 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00230033671a99cb0f4c998b9b61a4ff5a164fdb52786b75107bbdc9847eeedb