Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 12:00:00 P.M. to 09/08/2026, 12:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
16% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 264.7
Unexplained QUAI: 1,344.42
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,609.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc • 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1609 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc • 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
Net sender
Unknown type
134.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
129.93 QUAI across 12 visible rows
0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374E3a581B55Cf90e532176E423AF2527bb3F9
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/08/2026, 11:59:18 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,609.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:00:34 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/08/2026, 11:58:07 A.M.
+2 min
50 tx
431.28 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:01:54 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/08/2026, 11:56:53 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:03:10 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
1,679.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/08/2026, 11:55:41 A.M.
+4 min
53 tx
983.45 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:04:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
134.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
To: 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
7.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0051D9237c244E1ef72649145D04989b4B4cCdC1
Tx: 0x005700776034c05db5c215e549885e40ab8595a46a5e01f0142c4175ec2f94a4
9.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00374E3a581B55Cf90e532176E423AF2527bb3F9
Tx: 0x001d0015790d07ecc8a4c71045a4f0a9de9a036b58f00a203c0b599a04b07966
4.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066C187F46ca2F772B113f593f742E2d2889d2
Tx: 0x000000201b57d7249c321f1cb9ca1a9dfb4e9bb723c189558628333f36cdbf4a
5.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0061B0da5fd0CA53D1eBA139d62c24Cee5C4EDf0
Tx: 0x005a0007c564996e658222d821810d9b60bc928df2e9bbb4a667419f43290a9b
5.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004384B1A77536306aF974a28641Fc9F0c0ff439
Tx: 0x001e003778c01ba8c1be0753b06229068055fe71f6004d60feecb08fab95df58
55.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00605e1b880C9170f816cC555136a408c3A513Bd
Tx: 0x0042005c9a1d355f49209ef01c1335d5060a70c7a8cfd1434cb0878bc4598238
7.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001b629a8992fc22B5122cE8F5B5B5753B62FDE4
Tx: 0x0031005d0c95849a931b70b44336d00f9046b041971f5c4758adefb7df688b9c
6.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063D8375De6d5b0B20292391AA1e7654879eEFe
Tx: 0x00430024ddd3ded3d85e2fca7296b872974234633d82989d6dd402fbd77ae151
8.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003DE90581096136B450076507A2994e08Cb2cAF
Tx: 0x0062004657efd2114e091b2bceef9dd9029d3257ff82d8b1e1871cd8af4073ad
9.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004D33224f9959d2a25bafe712b7CD87b1614d23
Tx: 0x00350046f00688256a3e11a4585a9239cf495346d72577bee36bbb959e713455
4.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000bca645E685a6F19B6fF4683719fDF54521c1B
Tx: 0x0049006da27d995fe035f9bd059174f191a1af58ed7f26ad8db30d9192a57853
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:40 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0066D26dE25f264196f901c5db4c4b6905A36763
Tx: 0x006c0018bf187aaa299b881f903f8adfb1a9fe01add64b554747ce052ecd4552
134.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:00:11 P.M.
From: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
To: 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
Tx: 0x004c0044e08468ea5b30ca4a6170703f57cc9dc8eb4faf6facff59d6c0712a34