Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/08/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,436.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
11,436.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 11436 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,145.72 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,397.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,886.31 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,075.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,510.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate24 tx
28,007.78 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:50:58 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
8,869.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:49:44 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
23,034.17 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:52:10 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
16,317.01 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:48:33 A.M.
+2 min
18 tx
13,456.33 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:53:23 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
16,801.19 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:47:21 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
5,621 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:54:34 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
2,500.35 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:46:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,397.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
174 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004E6916b16Ee15974d0c6f8dA799C8bDCA048Db
Tx: 0x007e0074c3d22b13c0f68024803f9f8a2eb94dcf048b1199d4a9f34bbf63e8ab
496.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x00070077b301574c011ec45df8960af084001172c1de1d69a944eb4f689b4d8c
189.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x00150062993fe1ed8f08b1f4d2c7b0b2a1893c24f6d4e544907e1c5121c2ba6e
4,397.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Tx: 0x0014001fa08a922991abb5ab89f176824b18011793a0f0aadd279c8178a6afcb
2,075.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x00200029a3e880d29ff0aa022f4939bb2215f57b526ab6a2c646d3e8b0a9fc7d
1,036.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004e755A3d560F2a8fc7f3095cb8d440CF688790
Tx: 0x005c006fb32eb340d9ba03b79acefc00248224dcc90ffc6afe17933e0dd7e778
63.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x001c003523e008091fcaf8dde6b532e247b954977d3dddbaeeecf055411b0e23
126.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x0024003a123a346fa70fe9a62eb84807634f51abe750bc7e7a4c415f8ec90f25
1,510.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00530016454c6b1a77257b1492f24f00dbd648fbbba61644e0eee7b2ac4a503c
1,215.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Tx: 0x001b0023385bb1df3eadf44ea6150e506264b1bca2fcd071b1291f1dfe46da1e
151.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x004c001a1b3af72f8d58eb962ce442fca6a9e1d7589385e3e4b8cea1042621a9
