Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 09/08/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,044.81
Unexplained QUAI: 42,485.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
17x previous minute
42x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
6
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
43,530.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 43530 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
452.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
372.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Net receiver
Unknown type
332.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
219.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003FbeBABE706A63091341247DB77adEAb5f44c6
Net receiver
Unknown type
199.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
24 tx
43,530.43 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:40:10 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,531.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:38:56 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,044.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:41:22 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
37,893.3 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:37:45 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
6,480.94 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:36:34 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
5,149.56 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:42:34 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
26,587.63 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:43:46 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate15 tx
165,628.12 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:35:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
332.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
119.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x0004002c02059979e39d24ff12efb4de9666681e1f16a8a26bce3d00b0227259
64.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:40 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0053D18Bc4dAA1C1441d766F1AD69b3eB55a3d10
Tx: 0x0079006ddd7c0843275069af6bde440ffb25ba1a6221f9f57eba0c07585b449c
173.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x0077002daea060960616027f394815c0b379df3e723e2b4e76cefb3d65b8b3e4
199.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003FbeBABE706A63091341247DB77adEAb5f44c6
Tx: 0x004b0025886fcc35ab059add0cc82414ea6fab777d55fe41e035d3e6fb93c912
332.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0062000042218474180fd4e68f5277252b8205a9912527e760ffc1bf5c507802
155.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:40:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005288a8802115b5733Fe16b36cf6b6fAEeeB314
Tx: 0x006f0074ae7cce71fe8f51aa4342663fe6ce1a08b6cfe32abf8533bafe95802f