Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 09/08/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,180.44
Unexplained QUAI: 7,660.53
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
3
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
9,840.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 9841 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,755.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,755.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
381.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Net receiver
Unknown type
381.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
43.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
5,593.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:29:24 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
9,840.97 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:30:36 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
9,929.71 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:28:10 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
8,860.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,753.78 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:26:59 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate21 tx
11,752.99 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:32:59 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
2,266.38 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:25:48 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
8,102.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/08/2026, 2:34:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,755.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:30:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
43.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:30:06 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0039460BA8AC0161a54F8938e02B34A2e9EbdD9a
Tx: 0x0078002dc83552afef25a6d42c802763085d0c1cc5ef2d8912a2741e77ff7d62
381.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:30:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Tx: 0x004c00002ec4e7581095432ef8cfd123ed01811478c131e5cfb7e7965b0ac515
1,755.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 2:30:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x007700142e5c1161b2e2f2814cef820ff3991522d849ba92e5cea7a24a79b4cf