Spike bucket
09/08/2026, 12:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/08/2026, 12:06:00 A.M. to 09/08/2026, 12:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 88.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
33.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/08/2026, 12:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
65.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
23.05 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
11.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
11.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
33.3 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:06:13 A.M.
-1 min
25 tx
825.43 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:05:02 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
55.63 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:07:24 A.M.
-2 min
56 tx
1,129.98 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:03:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:02:39 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:08:34 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
100.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:09:45 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,586.71 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/08/2026, 12:01:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.63 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:06:43 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
55.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:06:43 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x006a003e5401ef99c2f30e03638b74493da39682f69631537cccccaa348ba343
10.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:06:11 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x006d005947cc01417bcf297be3aef8e8d9cae0c8be5469724acfecec054af0c1
11.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:06:11 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x002c001ecdc35071cae66afc9f791a5b5f41a601ed979fb0091d3bd6c67510cc
11.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/08/2026, 12:06:11 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0068003d69465541ceb0bcd0d76a662158dbc55608ccb1f8b12710675ad608b5